Allure Iii

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Which would you buy and why,i am torn between these two cars,05 grand prix and the 05 buick allure/lacross?

Both are the 3.8 series III engines...which have been proven reliable

Any thoughts to help me make a decision please.

I think I'd get the Buick, as it looks better than the pontiac. Just my opinion though. They are basically the same chassis underneath I think.

Unemployment Scenario in India

INTRODUCTION

                It needs not be defined afresh here the term ‘unemployment’. It is such an embarrassing state of a person which baffles him on all economic, social, mental, emotional and cultural fronts. In the presently prevailing period unemployment has become a challenge to Indian economy. All strategies and plans formulated to encounter the unemployment problem are not providing satisfactory outcomes whereby the desired level of unemployment mitigation is leading towards becoming a myth in India. The Indian economy, instead of succeeding to get the overall unemployment problem solved, appears rather to be swinging & dwindling between the rural and the urban unemployment. The well chosen, dexterously formulated and adroitly executed plans are not responding up to the mark and the state of affairs is becoming more depressive and distressing. It gives an impression that there is some mistake in formulating, choosing or executing the plans and strategies pertaining to economic development.

                To see if some error has really crept therein and, if so, how the error            should be done away, we would better rethink retrospectively. The western countries, during their development journey crept, then walked and thereafter ran on the path of development. They finally achieved the present level of development after travelling for a long period of time along the whole locus with several acrid and beatific experiences. After a considerable part of their development path was covered, the world political scenario took such a turn that it allowed and rather helped the exploited eastern countries come out of their harness and start development. The western countries, that time, were called developed economies and the eastern countries, just starting their economic development, were termed as under developed or developing economies. India belonged to the latter group whereby we were (though still we are) a developing economy.

 THE PLAN PERIOD AND EMPLOYMENT SITUATION

                After getting independence in 1947 India started its planned economic         development in 1951 having in hands the experience, a wide literature of well proved strategies and variegated plans pertaining to, used by and created or formulated by the well developed western economies, apart from the available natural resources. India was over enthusiastic and over ambitious on account of having the ready and well proved weapons sought from the western world for combating the problem of development. Therefore, instead of starting from the very beginning and covering the whole path it, being enticed and allured by the surprisingly fascinating fruits of industrialization, started efforts but having longed for being developed and grabbing fruits thereof in a haste. Thus India lost sequences in its development path. It ignored agriculture that was the spine of the economy. Thereby the agricultural development lagged far behind the level required for feeding India’s industrialization up to the mark. Agriculture based small and cottage industries became shattered and the villages became ruined. This raised a huge bulk of unemployed people in the widely spread rural sector. The unemployed persons started migrating to the urban areas in search of job. The urban development and industrialization there had not sufficient level to absorb the whole migrating mass and to provide them proper urban life facilities. As a result thereof a mushroom growth of slums came about fast which eventually turned into big slum spots in cities and towns within a no longer period of 20 or 25 years. This hampered urban growth and urban life. On the other hand, in rural areas there emerged acute shortage of energetic workforce, service centres, infrastructure, intellectuals etc. This hindered the rural development whereby agricultural development and rural life remained slang lower. That is why, even having travelled a long path of planned economic development, the state of affairs of rural India still remains almost the same as it was before planning. There is a big gulf between urban and rural people regarding wealth, wage, education and income. Moreover, the rural-urban migration, due to the pitiable state of affairs in rural areas, resulted to unchecked urban growth. Thus, instead of overall development, an unbalanced and unfair development of Indian economy became resulted therein. However, the Central Government tried to make the situation better by initiating the process of economic reforms in 1991. But, unfortunately, the formulation of this process was on almost the same footings as those of the Five Year Plans and, therefore, this also could not bring about the desired change. Consequently a wide spread general unemployment prevailed in both the rural and the urban areas (as per ECONOMIC APPRAISAL 2006-07, the estimated number of unemployed persons rose from 7.98 million in 1983 to 9.02 million in 1993-94, to 10.51 million in 1999-2000 and to 13.10 million in 2004-05. These figures make amply clear that the average increase per year in the number of unemployed persons is going higher and higher without revealing any effect even of the economic reforms initiated in 1991. The average increase per year in the number of unemployed persons was 1.04 lac persons during the ten years’ period from 1983 to 1993-94. It became 2.48 lac during the next six years’ period and rose to 5.18 lac during the five years’ period from 1999-2000 to 2004-05.). In addition to this a considerable number of politically, socially and economically sound and effective elites emerged in cities and urban towns. These elites interfered in the formulation and execution of development plans, on one hand, and in the fixation of priorities, on the other. Thereby Indian development plans became urban oriented and concentrating on rich minority. Thus the poor majority and the rural economy became ignored. The unemployment situation in both the rural and the urban sectors became almost uncontrollable. The government has become politically weak. Therefore its priority has become to please the rich minority so that it may run. To mitigate resentment and dissatisfaction among the general mass it has to play pseudo role to remedy some times the rural and some times the urban mass alternating through various unsuccessful employment programmes and plans. The condition of the rural unemployment is more embarrassing than that of the urban unemployment since the rural unemployed people are subsisting in privation.

 CAUSAL FACTORS OF RAMPANT UNEMPLOYMENT           

                Actually the root cause of this today’s stinging situation lies in India’s galloping along the development path instead of travelling along the true locus by creeping, walking and running as and when needed. Moreover the rapid population growth has added a lot to make the unemployment situation a mammoth. On account of extended medical facilities, uplift of living standard due to increased national income, control over epidemics, check on famines, alleviation of starvation, extension of maternity services etc. during the development process in the plan period, the death rate considerably went down (from 27.4 per thousand per year during 1941-50 to 7.6 per thousand per year in 2005) but the birth rate remained slang high (it was 39.9 per thousand per year during 1941-50 and came down only to 23.8 per thousand per year in 2005). Therefore population growth attained an increasingly high rate that was however tried unsuccessfully to be lowered through family planning programme. Therefore, whatever the number of employment-opportunities emerged on account of the development process, it was gulped by a rather high increase in population. Thus our mistake in the development process and the high rate of population growth are the two factors responsible for the rampant unemployment in Indian mass.

SUGGESTIONS

           To solve this massive problem efforts should be made to rectify the mistake in the development move, on one hand, and to mitigate the high population growth, on the other. As far as the rectification of mistake in the development move is concerned, the time of making the mistake good by starting a fresh has gone far back. Therefore India should better take a drastic turn to re-fix its priorities, reformulate its strategies, reselect its programmes and reconstruct its plans so as to make the development move rural oriented, congenial to the micro-level needs of the people, akin to the overall development and compatible to the extenuation of economic disparities. This will bring about fast agricultural development, uplift of village life and revival of village industries, artisanship and handicraft to check the massive rural-urban migration. As regards to the check on high population growth the prevailing family planning programme has been proved insufficient and incomplete. To form a complete and effective family planning programme the policy makers should go in full details of why a child is born. The factors making a child take birth can be grouped under three heads (i) Biological Factor, (ii) Socio-cultural and Religious Factors and (iii) Economic Factors.                         

1-Biological Factor:-                                                         

                 On account of this factor the child is born as a byproduct of sexual gratification. The best way of checking such an unintentional childbirth as a result of sexual intercourse is either the use of contraceptives or the termination of pregnancy. The latter is painful, some times unethical, expensive and risky too. Therefore the use of contraceptives is more preferable. There is a wide range of contraceptives in vogue.

                 The condom as mechanical contraceptive among males and the pills as oral contraceptive among females have been proved most acceptable, commonly used and comfortable due to the fact that other contraceptives have limitations and side effects of their own. During 2003-04 condoms were used by 17.83 million males and pills were used by 8.75 million females. Surgical operations were undergone by 4.88 million males/females and IUCD implantation was conducted to 6.08 million females. The barrier contraceptives and IUCS but have the main drawback that their application needs a specific time period before starting intercourse. Therefore in an unplanned and rather instant sex, that is generally performed in the poor families where separate accommodation is not available for husband-wife mating, there is no room for the use of barrier and IUCS contraceptives. Therefore, other types of contraceptives should be made prevail in slums and poor localities. The unintended childbirths on account of purely the biological factor can well be checked by making contraceptives so affluently prevail in the society that use of a suitable contraceptive in every case of mating is generally made sure when mating is purely for gratification.

2-Socio-cultural and Religious Factors:-

                The main social factor inducing a person to have more sons is the social security. Sons are believed to care their old, physically wasted and worn-out parents and to provide safety to the family in case of conflicts or death of some of them. The tendency of producing more sons due to the social security factor can be limited to a great extent by old-age-house system, life insurance, dependent minors allowance, unemployment allowance etc. As regards to the religious factor, there are two main beliefs. One speaks of higher spiritual gain or place in heaven after death for a person having more sons. The second relates the production of more children to religious service and the duty of woman as being sent by God for increasing progeny. However education or literacy is advocated to be instrumental in the extinction of such beliefs from people’s mind. But poverty alleviation is the most powerful instrument since an economically sound man generally dares to break religious orthodoxy for enjoying the fascinating mirth of luxury of materialistic life.

                Apart from economic uplift certain schemes or programmes launched by the government may be proved rather fruitful in instilling the importance of small family among the people. For example                                           

(1) Fare-price-shop facility, if given on the basis of family units in a way that even a divided family would be considered as a single family unit during the survival of the pre-division head of the family, will certainly attract people towards small family size provided the facility covers almost all consumable items for a member family unit and that too at a very low price in comparison to the market price.

(2) Various schemes of bounties, subsidies or economic help for poor families if launched on the per undivided family unit basis instead of per capita or per divided family unit, will comparatively benefit more to small families whereby big families will be discouraged.

(3) Among poverty stricken people, who mainly contribute to high birth rate, some are found fully adopting family planning. Such persons may be taken out and established as poor elites by providing them reservation and priority in various activities like education, employment, bank-loans, candidature in local body elections etc. These elites can better instill the advantage of small family through demonstration effect among the people. 

3-Economic Factors:-

                Economic factors are very effective factors like the biological factor. A person in acute economic privation leaves even deeply instilled social, cultural and some times the biological allurements too for economic gains, similarly as in the state of aggravated sexual agitation he can leave all social, cultural and economic gains for sexual gratification.

Poverty generates three causes of more childbirth as given below.

                (i) The currently prevailing media based fascinating means of entertainment are not only out of the reach of poor man but these have also snatches the old socio-cultural, cheap and some times free entertainment sources from him. Therefore a poverty stricken person has to search the way of entertainment in sex and that too being circumstantially unprotected whereby childbirth goes on taking place one after one successively. To check population increase due to this factor, the modern media based means of entertainment should be so designed that these may be easily available to poor people.                                                        

                (ii) In poor families a child becomes earning hand at the age of seven or eight years. The expenditure on his feeding is considerably lower than the wage he earns. Therefore, a child in a poor family is proved an asset rather than liability in its stead. That is why a poor man tends to produce more children for the uplift of family’s living standard. The child births on account of this tendency can be checked by making child-labour totally banned and by making child-education free and compulsory.

                (iii) If a person is owner of a series of units of small scale industries, cottage industries, small business units etc. the hired managing persons generally prove costlier, unfaithful and non-devoted. If a family member is deployed at each such unit the safety and profitability is increased. Similar is the position in a single cottage industry unit where margin of profit is low and hired labour makes the profit uncertain. Therefore the requirement of man power is tried to be met out by producing more children in the family. The population increase due to this reason can be mitigated to a marked extent by making such family occupations joint ventures of more than one family. Moreover, subsidy schemes and market protection schemes for such family occupations will help a lot by increasing and preserving the profit margin therein.

CONCLUSION

                The whole length of discussion concludes that to solve the unemployment problem of India the development plans and the family planning programme, both, should be reformed on the lines suggested herein above whereby the extra employment opportunities will be generated fast, on one hand, and population growth will be checked, on the other, in such a way that growth of employment opportunities would considerably exceed to the population growth.

About the Author

(Stanley Renshon Part III) Panel: The Illusionary Allure of Immigration Grand Bargains